Threshold 2030 Open
3 Followers
7 Questions
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23 forecasters
What % of current workers will be replaced by AI systems performing end-to-end labor in 2030?
Current estimate
12.8%
0 comments
23 forecasters
What will be the global number of physicians working in 2030 relative to the number working in 2024, in percent?
Current estimate
107%
1 comment
28 forecasters
What will be the global number of full time programmers working in 2030 relative to the number working in 2024, in percent?
Current estimate
90.7%
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23 forecasters
How many units of humanoid robots will be cumulatively sold globally for performing domestic tasks before 2031?
Current estimate
3.47M units
2 comments
24 forecasters
What will the total world unemployment rate be in 2030?
Current estimate
6.44%
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25 forecasters
What will the global labor share of gross domestic product be in 2030?
Current estimate
52%
2 comments
24 forecasters
What will the global median income or consumption per day be in 2030 in 2017 USD adjusted for purchasing power?
Current estimate
10.8 $/day