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Threshold 2030 Open

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7 Questions

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25 forecasters

What % of current workers will be replaced by AI systems performing end-to-end labor in 2030?

Current estimate

20.5%

29 forecasters

What will be the global number of full time programmers working in 2030 relative to the number working in 2024, in percent?

Current estimate

92.6%

23 forecasters

How many units of humanoid robots will be cumulatively sold globally for performing domestic tasks before 2031?

Current estimate

4.11M units

24 forecasters

What will the total world unemployment rate be in 2030?

Current estimate

7.42%

25 forecasters

What will the global labor share of gross domestic product be in 2030?

Current estimate

49.1%

25 forecasters

What will the global median income or consumption per day be in 2030 in 2017 USD adjusted for purchasing power?

Current estimate

10.5 $/day

24 forecasters

What will be the global number of physicians working in 2030 relative to the number working in 2024, in percent?

Current estimate

102%