What will be the global number of physicians working in 2030 relative to the number working in 2024, in percent?

no comments0

Total Forecasters23

Community Prediction

107%

(94.1% - 118%)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>150%
community	94.1%	106.5%	117.9%	2.7%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	94.1%	—
median	106.5%	—
upper 75%	117.9%	—
Upper bound
>150%	2.7%	—

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Authors:

nor

Opened:

Oct 30, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2029

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 30, 2024

Threshold 2030 Open

Microsoft says its new health AI beat doctors in accurate diagnoses by a mile

Business Insider•Jul 1, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What percent of GDP will the United States spend on healthcare in 2030?

18.7

What will be the world population in the following years?

8.49B

What will be the percent change in the number of U.S. law school graduates securing full-time, long-term positions that require passing the bar exam, compared to the class of 2022?

5.57

Authors:

nor

Opened:

Oct 30, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2029

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 30, 2024

Threshold 2030 Open

Microsoft says its new health AI beat doctors in accurate diagnoses by a mile

Business Insider•Jul 1, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What percent of GDP will the United States spend on healthcare in 2030?

18.7

What will be the world population in the following years?

8.49B

What will be the percent change in the number of U.S. law school graduates securing full-time, long-term positions that require passing the bar exam, compared to the class of 2022?

5.57