Contributed by the Uncharted Territories community.
Question
Israel and Hamas signed a ceasefire on January 15 2025, which came into effect on January 19 2025. By when will one side or both break the ceasefire?
Total Forecasters24
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | ... | — |
| median | ... | — |
| upper 75% | ... | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >31 Dec 2025 | — | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 24, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 31, 2025
Authors:
Opened:Jan 24, 2025
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 31, 2025
