Metaculus Platform
Metaculus
Benchmark
Methodology
Participate
Partner
News
AI Forecasting in 2026: What 11 Analyses Say
May 16, 2026
•
by BenWilson
•
no comments
Analysis of Automated Prompt Engineering for Forecasting Pt 2
May 16, 2026
•
by BenWilson
•
no comments
Does Your Bot's Search Provider Matter? Three Seasons of Evidence
May 16, 2026
•
by fabimax
•
no comments
Advice from Bot Makers to Bot Makers (Fall 2025)
May 1, 2026
•
by BenWilson
•
no comments
Announcing Summer 2026 FutureEval Bot Tournament
May 1, 2026
•
by BenWilson
•
no comments
Fall 2025 FutureEval Bot-Maker Survey: What Winners Did Differently
May 1, 2026
•
by gracemclain
•
no comments
Introducing FutureEval, our new home for AI forecasting
Feb 12, 2026
•
by deger
•
11 comments
The FutureEval model leaderboard
Feb 10, 2026
•
by Sylvain
•
10 comments
Announcing Spring 2026 AI Forecasting Benchmark
Dec 17, 2025
•
by BenWilson
•
no comments
Q2 AI Benchmark Results: Pros Maintain Clear Lead
Oct 26, 2025
•
by BenWilson
•
6 comments
Announcing the Winners of the Q2 2025 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
Aug 14, 2025
•
by BenWilson
•
no comments
FutureEval Bot Tournament Resources Page
Jul 30, 2025
•
by BenWilson
•
22 comments
Another Year of AI Benchmarking: The Plan
Jul 22, 2025
•
by BenWilson
•
no comments
Q1 AI Benchmark Results: Pro Forecasters Crush Bots
Jun 21, 2025
•
by BenWilson
•
3 comments
Analysis of Automated Prompt Engineering for Forecasting
Jun 9, 2025
•
by BenWilson
•
2 comments
Announcing the Winners of the Q1 2025 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
May 16, 2025
•
by johnnycaffeine
•
1 comment
Q4 AI Benchmarking: Bots Are Closing The Gap
Feb 19, 2025
•
by sandman
•
9 comments
Build Your Own Forecasting Bot in 30 Minutes With Our Tutorial Video
Feb 21, 2025
•
by christian
•
17 comments
Congratulation to the Winners of the Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark
Oct 9, 2024
•
by Tom_Metaculus
•
no comments
Q3 AI Benchmarking: Did Bots Outperform Human Forecasters?
Oct 9, 2024
•
by Tom_Metaculus
•
13 comments