Question
When Will an AI be Amongst the Best Forecasters on Metaculus
Total Forecasters13
Community Prediction2028-05-22 (2026-10-02 - 2031-01-01)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | Oct 2026 | — |
median | May 2028 | — |
upper 75% | Jan 2031 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>2034-01-02 | 4.3% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Sep 11, 2024
Closes:Feb 1, 2034
Scheduled resolution:May 31, 2034
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Sep 11, 2024
Closes:Feb 1, 2034
Scheduled resolution:May 31, 2034