Contributed by the The City of Pensacola, Florida community.
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3 forecasters
Will the recreational marijuana amendment pass in the November 2024 election?
60%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 60% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Oct 23, 2024
Closes:Nov 4, 2024
Resolved:Nov 5, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 23, 2024
Include Bots:Yes
Will marijuana be legal for recreational use in a supermajority of these strongly Republican US states before 2041?
90% chance
90
Will federal legislation be passed before the 2026 midterm elections offering immunity to banks providing financial services to legal marijuana businesses?
5% chance
28
Will the US Constitution be amended to enable a third presidential term by Nov 2028?
5% chance
39