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6 comments
26 forecasters
Will the Senate vote to reject at least one of Trump's cabinet-level nominees?
25%chance
This question is closed for predictions.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Nov 22, 2024
Closed:Dec 27, 2024
Scheduled resolution:Feb 28, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 27, 2024
Will eight or more of the fifteen heads of the executive departments be serving in an acting role on December 31, 2026?
6% chance
138
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?
27 forecasters
How many members of the Trump cabinet will remain in their positions continuously until January 20, 2029?
6 members
(3 - 8)
6 members
(3 - 8)
87 forecasters