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Virginia AI Security Initiative
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12
Followers
8
Questions
Open Leaderboard
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10 forecasters
*Closes Mar 31, 2026* Which company will own the #1 ranked AI model on the Arena AI (LMSYS) Text Leaderboard as of April 30, 2026?
Anthropic
result:
Yes
Google
26.1%
OpenAI
11.9%
xAI
4.3%
3 others
0 comments
10 forecasters
*Closes Mar 31, 2026* Which company will hold the #1 rank on the Arena.ai (LMSYS) Coding Leaderboard as of April 30, 2026?
Anthropic
result:
Yes
Google
11.2%
OpenAI
11%
DeepSeek
0.5%
3 others
1 comment
7 forecasters
*Closes Mar 31, 2026* What will be the highest score achieved on the SWE-bench Verified benchmark by any AI model as of April 30, 2026?
community
84.7%
result
83%
12 comments
258 forecasters
Will any coding tool introduce an integration with brain-computer interface technology before November 2026?
2%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
Key Factors
JetBrains funding suggests potential interest
0 comments
8 forecasters
*Closes Mar 31, 2026* What will be the highest score achieved by an AI model on the Epoch AI Frontier Math Tier 4 benchmark as of April 30, 2026?
community
45.2%
result
40%
0 comments
7 forecasters
*Closes Mar 31, 2026* What will be the highest score recorded on the Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) by April 30, 2026?
community
164 Points
result
159 Points
13 comments
143 forecasters
What will be the highest scores in these ΑΙ benchmarks before September 2026?
FrontierMath (Tier 4)
35.2
AGI-ARC-2
91
OSWorld Verified
87.4
Vals Index
Upcoming
3 others
This question is closed for forecasting.
1 comment
141 forecasters
What percentage of developers will feel completely or very secure in their job in 2026?
Latest estimate
28.6%
This question is closed for forecasting.
Key Factors
35 %
By
2027
Developer responses to survey question