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Virginia AI Security Initiative
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20 comments
143 forecasters
What will be the highest scores in these ΑΙ benchmarks before September 2026?
FrontierMath (Tier 4)
Annulled
AGI-ARC-2
91
OSWorld Verified
87.4
Vals Index
Upcoming
3 others
This question is closed for forecasting.
0 comments
10 forecasters
*Closes Mar 31, 2026* Which company will hold the #1 rank on the Arena.ai (LMSYS) Coding Leaderboard as of April 30, 2026?
Anthropic
result:
Yes
Google
11.2%
OpenAI
11%
DeepSeek
0.5%
3 others
0 comments
8 forecasters
*Closes Mar 31, 2026* What will be the highest score achieved by an AI model on the Epoch AI Frontier Math Tier 4 benchmark as of April 30, 2026?
community
45.2%
result
40%
0 comments
7 forecasters
*Closes Mar 31, 2026* What will be the highest score recorded on the Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) by April 30, 2026?
community
164 Points
result
159 Points
1 comment
7 forecasters
*Closes Mar 31, 2026* What will be the highest score achieved on the SWE-bench Verified benchmark by any AI model as of April 30, 2026?
community
84.7%
result
83%
0 comments
10 forecasters
*Closes Mar 31, 2026* Which company will own the #1 ranked AI model on the Arena AI (LMSYS) Text Leaderboard as of April 30, 2026?
Anthropic
result:
Yes
Google
26.1%
OpenAI
11.9%
xAI
4.3%
3 others
12 comments
258 forecasters
Will any coding tool introduce an integration with brain-computer interface technology before November 2026?
2%
chance
This question is closed for forecasting.
Key Factors
JetBrains funding suggests potential interest
1 comment
141 forecasters
What percentage of developers will feel completely or very secure in their job in 2026?
Latest estimate
28.6%
This question is closed for forecasting.
Key Factors
35 %
By
2027
Developer responses to survey question