Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.

Question

What will be the best performance on OSWorld by December 31st 2025?

Total Forecasters11
Community Prediction
72.3%
(62.9% - 82.3%)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%62.89%
median72.27%
upper 75%82.27%
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 4, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 9, 2024