Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.

Question

What will be the best performance on OSWorld by December 31st 2025?

Total Forecasters11
Community Prediction
70.1%
(64.1% - 76.3%)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%64.08%
median70.1%
upper 75%76.28%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Dec 4, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 9, 2024