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- February 19, 2021
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Forecaster Stats
Level
∞ (Admin)
Predictions
7156 predictions on 1757 questions (918 resolved)
Comments
2823 comments on 1040 questions
Tournaments and Projects
- Alt-Protein Tournament
- Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
- Trade Signal Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Tournament
- Virginia Lightning Round Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
- Metaculus Journal
- Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making
- Szilard Fortified Essay Contest
- Global Trends 2022
- AI Progress Essay Contest
- FluSight Challenge 2021/22
- China and Global Cooperation
- Ukraine Conflict
- White Hat Cyber
- Cultured Meat Tournament
- Forecasting AI Progress
- Mpox (Monkeypox)
- Autocrat Public Figures Series
- Biosecurity Tournament
- Improve the News
- Economist 2021
- Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
- Climate Tipping Points
- Transparent Replications
- Forecasting Our World in Data
- FluSight Challenge 2022/23
- Red Lines in Ukraine
- 🔰Q4 2022 Beginner Tournament 🔰
- 🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
- ACX 2023 Prediction Contest
- Economic Indicators
- 🤖 LLM Milestones 🤖
- 🔰Q1 2023 Beginner Tournament 🔰
- Keep Virginia Safe II
- AI & Cybersecurity
- 📰 Breaking News Tournament 📰
- 🔰Q2 2023 Beginner Tournament 🔰
- Regulation of AI
- Space Technology & Climate
- Public Perception of AI
- AI Demonstrations
- Business of AI
- AI Training and Compute
- AGI Outcomes
- AI in China
- AI Technical Benchmarks
- AI Safety
- 🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆
- Reducing Antibiotic Resistance In Aquaculture
- FRO-casting
- Conditional Cup
- ⚡Superconductor Frontiers⚡
- FluSight Challenge 2023/24
- Antibody Characterization through Open Science
- Platform for Human Molecular Monitoring
- Systematic Study of Phage Genes and Functions
- Complete Map of Neural Input-Output Functions
- 🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆
- Israel-Gaza Conflict
- Effective Institutions Project
- Vinod Khosla
- Global Pulse Tournament
- Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
- Chinese AI Chips
Causes and Organizations
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
18620 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Economy – US – Economic Indicators (134)
- Environment – Climate (132)
- Biology – Infectious Disease (113)
- Industry – Transportation (107)
- Geopolitics – Armed Conflict (71)
Popular Questions
- Will at least one nuclear weapon be detonated in Ukraine before 2023? (1828 forecasts)
- Will there be a US government shutdown before January 1, 2024? (1504 forecasts)
- Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) (1288 forecasts)
- Will Yahya Sinwar cease to act as Hamas Chief in the Gaza Strip before 2024? (831 forecasts)
- When will the successor to Kevin McCarthy be elected as Speaker of the United States House of Representatives? (796 forecasts)