Profile
Save
Username
Formerly Known As
Member Since
- February 19, 2021
Bio
Website
{{err}}
Metaculus Supporter
Supporter Since
- {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}
Change your username
Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons
You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.
Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.
Forecaster Stats
Level
18 (Time Lord)
Predictions
3726 predictions on 1064 questions (482 resolved)
Comments
1102 comments on 407 questions
Rank
37th
Achievements
Tournaments and Projects
- Alt-Protein Tournament
- Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
- Trade Signal Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Tournament
- Virginia Lightning Round Tournament
- Metaculus Journal
- Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making
- Global Trends 2022
- AI Progress Essay Contest
- FluSight Challenge
- China and Global Cooperation
- Ukraine Conflict
- Monkeypox
- Biosecurity Tournament
Causes and Organizations
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
1751 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Series -- Erik Hoel 2050 (21)
- Politics – US (13)
- Social issues (10)
- Industry – Energy (9)
- Environment – Climate (8)
Popular Questions
- Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) (351 forecasts)
- By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points? (338 forecasts)
- Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2024? (235 forecasts)
- What will be the maximum CPI inflation measured in 2022? (177 forecasts)
- In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results? (172 forecasts)