Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.
Question
What will be the best performance on FrontierMath by December 31st 2025?
Total Forecasters21
Community Prediction
56.4%
(44.5% - 67.9%)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 44.51% | — |
| median | 56.39% | — |
| upper 75% | 67.88% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 4, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 9, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Dec 4, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 9, 2024
