Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.

Question

Will an AI system be reported by OpenAI as of December 31st 2025 as having a pre-mitigation score of Medium or higher on Cybersecurity?

Resolved:Yes

2 comments2

Total Forecasters10

Community Prediction

86%

(85% - 93%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 86%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

1.1

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Dec 4, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 9, 2024

AI 2025 Forecasting Survey

Artificial Intelligence

Declining public trust in AI is a national-security problem

Defense One•Jun 25, 2025

Breitbart•Jun 24, 2025

'Malicious' AI willing to sacrifice human lives to avoid replacement: study

New York Post•Jun 23, 2025

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