Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.
1 comment
6 forecasters
Will an AI system be reported by OpenAI as of December 31st 2025 as having a pre-mitigation score of Medium or higher on Model Autonomy?
99.9%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 100% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Authors:
Opened:Dec 4, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Resolved:Jan 31, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 9, 2024
