Contributed by the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey community.

Question

What will be the sum of OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI's publicly reported annualized revenues by December 31st 2025, in USD billions?

Total Forecasters11
Community Prediction
20.6B billion $
(15.9B billion $ - 28.3B billion $)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<5B1.2%
Quartiles
lower 25%15.95B
median20.62B
upper 75%28.31B
Upper bound
>40B13.1%
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 4, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 9, 2024