Contributed by the AI Warning Signs community.
Question
Will any country threaten or commit an act of aggression explicitly due to an AI capabilities race before 2030?
Total Forecasters15
Community Prediction
31%
(20% - 64%)
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 18, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 18, 2025
Authors:
Opened:Jan 18, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 18, 2025