Contributed by the AI Warning Signs community.
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15 forecasters
Will any country threaten or commit an act of aggression explicitly due to an AI capabilities race before 2030?
31%chance
The community sees this as a toss-up.
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 18, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 18, 2025