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Bright Line Watch Tournament

52 Followers

25 Questions

Moderated by JohnCarey

Public Benefit Corporation

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This question is also part of main Metaculus.

143 forecasters

Will eight or more of the fifteen heads of the executive departments be serving in an acting role on December 31, 2026?

3%chance

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

127 forecasters

Will customs duties revenue to the federal government increase from $80 billion in fiscal year 2023 to $160 billion in fiscal year 2026 (in 2023 dollars)?

90%chance

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

108 forecasters

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 50% before 2027?

0.1%chance