Contributed by the Foresight Institute community.

Question

Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters14

Community Prediction

20%

(5% - 30%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 20%

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Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Feb 21, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2031

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2032

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 21, 2025

Foresight Institute

Health & Pandemics

Technology

Futurist who predicted the iPhone reveals date humans will cheat death

Daily Mail•Jun 15, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will an FDA-approved diagnostic test that predicts individual response to longevity interventions be commercially available and covered by insurers by January 1, 2030?

55%

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

65%

Will a partial reprogramming-based therapy receive regulatory approval for treating Alzheimer’s disease before January 1, 2035?

50%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Feb 21, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2031

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2032

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 21, 2025

Foresight Institute

Health & Pandemics

Technology

Futurist who predicted the iPhone reveals date humans will cheat death

Daily Mail•Jun 15, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will an FDA-approved diagnostic test that predicts individual response to longevity interventions be commercially available and covered by insurers by January 1, 2030?

55%

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

65%

Will a partial reprogramming-based therapy receive regulatory approval for treating Alzheimer’s disease before January 1, 2035?

50%