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5 Questions

Public Benefit Corporation

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9 forecasters

Will the annual revenue run rate of the top two AI labs in 2030 exceed $1T (2026 USD)?

70%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

7 forecasters

Will there be a documented case of civil unrest (e.g., a strike or protest) with over 1,000,000 participants globally, citing AI impacts (e.g., labor displacement) as a primary grievance by 2030?

75%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

7 forecasters

Will the average monthly price per kWh of electricity in the U.S. break $0.40 before the end of 2030 (doubling recent values)?

10%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

8 forecasters

Will annualized U.S. per-capita consumption growth from 2030-2035 exceed 8% (with appropriate adjustments for quality changes, home production, and zero-cost goods and services)?

12%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.

8 forecasters

Will the U.S. employment-population ratio for ages 25-54 fall below 70% by 2035?

10%chance

This question is closed for forecasting.