Contributed by the Gary Marcus's AI Forecasts community.

Question

Will artificial general intelligence (AGI) arrive in 2025?

Total Forecasters4
Community Prediction
4%
(0.1% - 5%)

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50%
community: 4%
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 5, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 10, 2025