Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Question
Question
Will more than two of Gary Marcus' proposed AI achievements come to pass before 2030?
32
16 comments
16
1d
1w
2m
all
Total Forecasters
165
Community Prediction
96%
Make a Prediction
community: 96%
Sign Up to Predict
Background Info
Histogram
median
96.0%
mean
83.1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AI Demonstrations
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Elon Musk
Artificial intelligence
Computer science
Philosophy
Gary Marcus
Artificial general intelligence
New York University
Submit Tags Feedback
Comments
recent
? comments
Log in
Load more comments
Follow
embed
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AI Demonstrations
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Elon Musk
Artificial intelligence
Computer science
Philosophy
Gary Marcus
Artificial general intelligence
New York University
Submit Tags Feedback
News Match
A Nobel Prize for Artificial Intelligence
Atlantic
•
Oct 9, 2024
The 12 Greatest Dangers Of AI
Forbes
•
Oct 9, 2024
When Will AI Take Over the World? We Asked ChatGPT
Newsweek
•
Oct 10, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
A Nobel Prize for Artificial Intelligence
Atlantic
•
Oct 9, 2024
The 12 Greatest Dangers Of AI
Forbes
•
Oct 9, 2024
When Will AI Take Over the World? We Asked ChatGPT
Newsweek
•
Oct 10, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
Will an AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen before 2030?
26%
Will an AI be able to take arbitrary proofs from the mathematical literature and convert them into a symbolic form suitable for verification before 2030?
85%
Will an AI be able to reliably construct bug-free code of more than 10,000 lines before 2030?
90%
Show More Questions
Similar Questions
Will an AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen before 2030?
26%
Will an AI be able to take arbitrary proofs from the mathematical literature and convert them into a symbolic form suitable for verification before 2030?
85%
Will an AI be able to reliably construct bug-free code of more than 10,000 lines before 2030?
90%
Show More Questions