Contributed by the Gary Marcus's AI Forecasts community.

Question

Will many radiologists be replaced by AI in 2025?

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0.5%

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50%

community: 0.5%

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Authors:

lbarbosa

Opened:

Jan 5, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 10, 2025

Gary Marcus's AI Forecasts

Technology

Artificial Intelligence

The Godfather of AI reveals which jobs are safest — and where 'everybody' will get replaced

•Jun 17, 2025

The Godfather of AI reveals which jobs are safest — and where 'everybody' will get replaced

Business Insider•Jun 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a paper with an AI as an author be published at NeurIPS, ICML, or ICLR before 2028?

36%

Will Metaculus predict that artificial intelligence continues to pose a global catastrophic risk by 2040?

85%

By December 31st, 2028, will it be considered best practice in clinical psychology to incorporate AI tools in the diagnostic process?

27%

Authors:

lbarbosa

Opened:

Jan 5, 2025

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 10, 2025

Gary Marcus's AI Forecasts

Technology

Artificial Intelligence

The Godfather of AI reveals which jobs are safest — and where 'everybody' will get replaced

•Jun 17, 2025

The Godfather of AI reveals which jobs are safest — and where 'everybody' will get replaced

Business Insider•Jun 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a paper with an AI as an author be published at NeurIPS, ICML, or ICLR before 2028?

36%

Will Metaculus predict that artificial intelligence continues to pose a global catastrophic risk by 2040?

85%

By December 31st, 2028, will it be considered best practice in clinical psychology to incorporate AI tools in the diagnostic process?

27%