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Nathan Young's Community
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What is the top GPQA score on the following dates?
2025 Q2
Upcoming
2025 Q3
Upcoming
2025 Q4
Upcoming
2026 Q1
Upcoming
8 others
0 comments
What is the top MMLU score on the following dates?
2025 Q2
Upcoming
2025 Q3
Upcoming
2025 Q4
Upcoming
2026 Q1
Upcoming
8 others
5 comments
1 forecaster
What is the top SWE-Bench Verified score on the following dates?
2025 Q2
Upcoming
2025 Q3
71.3
2025 Q4
77.4
2026 Q1
82.2
8 others
This question is also part of main Metaculus.
11 comments
53 forecasters
Will Zelenskyy be re-elected as President of Ukraine before 2028?
10%
chance
4 comments
3 forecasters
Will any of these AI companies be nationalized before Jan 1st 2030?
Any frontier AI company, "soft nationalization"
81.5%
Other frontier AI firm, "soft nationalization"
34%
Any frontier AI company, "hard nationalization"
27%
xAI, "soft nationalization"
25%
8 others
