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This question is also part of main Metaculus.
Will Zelenskyy be re-elected as President of Ukraine before 2028?
19%
chance
Will any of these AI companies be nationalized before Jan 1st 2030?
Any frontier AI company, "soft nationalization"
75%
Any frontier AI company, "hard nationalization"
40%
Other frontier AI firm, "soft nationalization"
34%
and 9 others
What is the top GPQA score on the following dates?
What is the top MMLU score on the following dates?
What is the top SWE-Bench Verified score on the following dates?
