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Nathan Young's Community

2 Followers

5 Questions

Moderated by NathanpmYoung

Public Benefit Corporation

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3 forecasters

Will any of these AI companies be nationalized before Jan 1st 2030?

Any frontier AI company, "soft nationalization"81.5%

Other frontier AI firm, "soft nationalization"34%

Any frontier AI company, "hard nationalization"27%

OpenAI, "soft nationalization"25%

8 others

This question is also part of main Metaculus.

55 forecasters

Will Zelenskyy be re-elected as President of Ukraine before 2028?

15%chance

1 forecaster

What is the top SWE-Bench Verified score on the following dates?

2025 Q2Upcoming

2025 Q371.3

2025 Q477.4

2026 Q182.2

8 others

What is the top GPQA score on the following dates?

2025 Q2Upcoming

2025 Q3Upcoming

2025 Q4Upcoming

2026 Q1Upcoming

8 others

What is the top MMLU score on the following dates?

2025 Q2Upcoming

2025 Q3Upcoming

2025 Q4Upcoming

2026 Q1Upcoming

8 others