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Nathan Young's Community
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What is the top SWE-Bench Verified score on the following dates?
2025 Q2
Upcoming
2025 Q3
71.3
2025 Q4
77.4
9 others
2
comments
3
forecasters
Will any of these AI companies be nationalized before Jan 1st 2030?
Any frontier AI company, "soft nationalization"
75%
Other frontier AI firm, "soft nationalization"
34%
OpenAI, "soft nationalization"
25%
9 others
0
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What is the top GPQA score on the following dates?
2025 Q2
Upcoming
2025 Q3
Upcoming
2025 Q4
Upcoming
9 others
0
comments
What is the top MMLU score on the following dates?
2025 Q2
Upcoming
2025 Q3
Upcoming
2025 Q4
Upcoming
9 others
This question is also part of main Metaculus.
10
comments
33
forecasters
Will Zelenskyy be re-elected as President of Ukraine before 2028?
16.8%
chance
