Group

Will any of these AI companies be nationalized before Jan 1st 2030?

1 forecaster

Any frontier AI company, "soft nationalization"

Any frontier AI company, "hard nationalization"

Other frontier AI firm, "soft nationalization"

xAI, "soft nationalization"

OpenAI, "soft nationalization"

Anthropic, "soft nationalization"

Company, nationalizion type		My Prediction		Me
Any frontier AI company, "soft nationalization"	75%

Any frontier AI company, "hard nationalization"	40%

Other frontier AI firm, "soft nationalization"	34%

xAI, "soft nationalization"	25%

OpenAI, "soft nationalization"	25%

Anthropic, "soft nationalization"	22%

Other frontier AI firm, "hard nationalization"	16%

OpenAI, "hard nationalization"	12%

Google DeepMind, "soft nationalization"	12%

Anthropic, "hard nationalization"	11%

xAI, "hard nationalization"	11%

Google DeepMind, "hard nationalization"	3%