Contributed by the Threshold 2030 Open community.
Question
What % of current workers will be replaced by AI systems performing end-to-end labor in 2030?
Total Forecasters22
Community Prediction
14.1%
(6.23% - 27.6%)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 6.232% | — |
| median | 14.08% | — |
| upper 75% | 27.63% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Oct 30, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2033
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 30, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Oct 30, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2033
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 30, 2024
