What will be the average production cost per kg of cell-cultured chicken cell biomass at the end of the following years (between 2026-2051) across all large-scale plants in the world?

Predict experts' choice: which is a better basis for constructing a well-being metric for comparing LMIC interventions? (WELL_08)

Predict experts' response to "Which is the better approach to measuring & comparing LMIC interventions affecting multiple outcomes?" (WELL_04)

What is the probability that each of the following is a better basis for constructing a well-being metric for comparing LMIC interventions? (WELL_08)

How many chickens will be slaughtered for meat globally in the following years?

By 2030, will 50% or more of GiveWell's top charities include a WELLBY-based cost-effectiveness analysis alongside or instead of DALY-based analysis?

Which is the better approach to measuring & comparing LMIC interventions affecting multiple outcomes? (State the probability either is better) (WELL_04)

How many metric tons of ≥51% cultured meat costing <$10/kg will be sold from 2020 to 2050?

Cost ratio (linear WELLBY use ÷ best feasible measure use) to achieve the welfare improvement choosing policy with the linear WELLBY measure relative to best feasible measure?

Predict the median of experts' beliefs over "How much more costly ... to achieve the same welfare improvement using the linear WELLBY measure (vs. the best other feasible measure)?

Moved to https://www.metaculus.com/c/unjournal/42735/a-overall-wellby-vs-b-separate-measures-and-conversion-well_04/

Predict the median of experts' beliefs over "Would [A] using a single WELLBY-based measure yield a better allocation choice than [B] measuring each dimension separately and combining [B]? (WELL_04)"

[RESTATED at https://www.metaculus.com/c/unjournal/42731/better-basis-for-a-well-being-metric-in-lmic-interventions-well_08/ (WELL_08)

If the price of the highest-quality hamburger-imitating plant products fell by 10% everywhere, how many more/fewer chickens would be consumed globally in the year 2030 (as a +/- percent)?

Does $100k to fund plant-based hamburger R&D have a greater animal welfare benefit than $100k to corporate animal welfare campaigns for chickens?

Predict the median of experts' beliefs over "Does $100k to fund plant-based hamburger R&D have a greater animal welfare benefit than $100k to corporate animal welfare campaigns for chickens?"

Does $100k to fund cultured meat development have a greater animal welfare benefit than $100k to corporate animal welfare campaigns for chickens?

Predict the median of experts' beliefs over "Does $100k to fund cultured meat development have a greater animal welfare benefit than $100k to corporate animal welfare campaigns for chickens?"

Predict the median of experts' beliefs over "the average production cost of cultured (chicken) per kg" by 2051

Predict experts' beliefs over “If the price of the... hamburger-imitating plant products fell by 10% ... how many more/fewer chickens consumed globally in 2030, as a +/- percent?

How many evaluation packages will The Unjournal post in the year 2025?

This question is closed for forecasting.

How many metric tons of ≥51% cultured meat will be sold from 2020 to 2050?

What will be the largest cultivated meat production capacity, in metric tons per year, of a single facility by January 1, 2030?

What will the lowest retail price, in USD per kg, of any product containing 50% clean meat be, in the calendar year 2029?

How much revenue will the U.S. market for clean meat generate, in the fiscal year 2030, in millions of USD?