What will be the average production cost per kg of cell-cultured chicken cell biomass at the end of the following years (between 2026-2051) across all large-scale plants in the world?
Predict the median of experts' beliefs over "Does $100k to fund plant-based hamburger R&D have a greater animal welfare benefit than $100k to corporate animal welfare campaigns for chickens?"
Predict the median of experts' beliefs over "Does $100k to fund cultured meat development have a greater animal welfare benefit than $100k to corporate animal welfare campaigns for chickens?"
If the price of the highest-quality hamburger-imitating plant products fell by 10% everywhere, how many more/fewer chickens would be consumed globally in the year 2030 (as a +/- percent)?
Which is the better approach to measuring & comparing LMIC interventions affecting multiple outcomes? (State the probability either is better) (WELL_04)
[A] Use a single overall WELLBY-based measure (potentially imperfect)
Hidden
[B] Directly measure each dimension separately, then convert and combine
Cost ratio (linear WELLBY use ÷ best feasible measure use) to achieve the welfare improvement choosing policy with the linear WELLBY measure relative to best feasible measure?