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- October 16, 2015
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Forecaster Stats
Level
∞ (Admin)
Predictions
192 predictions on 145 questions (127 resolved)
Comments
69 comments on 53 questions
Achievements
Tournaments and Projects
- Alt-Protein Tournament
- Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
- Trade Signal Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Tournament
- Virginia Lightning Round Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
- Metaculus Journal
- Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making
- Global Trends 2022
- AI Progress Essay Contest
- FluSight Challenge
- China and Global Cooperation
- Ukraine Conflict
- White Hat Cyber
- Cultured Meat Tournament
- Monkeypox
- Autocrat Public Figures Series
- Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
Causes and Organizations
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
7760 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Physical Sciences – Astrophysics and Cosmology (19)
- Scientific Discoveries (7)
- Finance – markets (7)
- Finance (4)
- Environment – Climate (4)
Popular Questions
- Will SpaceX land people on Mars prior to 2030? (5835 forecasts)
- Announcement of evidence for aliens by 2020? (900 forecasts)
- Will 2018 be the warmest year on record? (458 forecasts)
- Will Planet Nine be Discovered by mid-2019? (436 forecasts)
- To the Stars! #4: Do Potentially Habitable Planets exist in orbit around Alpha Centauri A or B? (407 forecasts)