computing intelligent contingencies crowdsourcing critical insights composing calibrated forecasts predicting precise estimations generating quantitative wisdom mapping the future predicting critical insights predicting definitive estimations crowdsourcing predictive understanding assembling definitive insights composing predictive forecasts exploring contingent insights calculating accurate forecasts delivering calibrated forecasts


username aarongertler
formerly known as
member since January 7, 2016
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.


level 4 (Fortuneteller)
predictions 43 predictions on 30 questions (24 resolved)
comments 9 comments on 9 questions
rank 265th