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- January 21, 2016
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Forecaster Stats
Level
25 (AIXI.1.5)
Predictions
19856 predictions on 1597 questions (763 resolved)
Comments
1158 comments on 466 questions
Rank
15th
Achievements
Tournaments and Projects
- Alt-Protein Tournament
- Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
- Trade Signal Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Tournament
- Virginia Lightning Round Tournament
- Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making
- Global Trends 2022
- China and Global Cooperation
- Ukraine Conflict
- White Hat Cyber
- Monkeypox
- Biosecurity Tournament
Causes and Organizations
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
2083 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Geopolitics – Armed Conflict (10)
- Politics – US (7)
- Novel Coronavirus (Covid-19) (5)
- Elections – U.S. (5)
- Politics (4)
Popular Questions
- Will Biden keep a +5% net Presidential approval rating throughout his first six months on the job? (643 forecasts)
- What fraction of United States adults will be vaccinated against the 2020—2021 seasonal influenza? (562 forecasts)
- Will ≥3 million Americans be locked down because of B117 by March 11th, 2021? (384 forecasts)
- Will Andrew Yang run for mayor of New York in 2021? (360 forecasts)
- What proportion of last-round votes will Andrew Yang get in the 2021 New York mayoral primary election? (344 forecasts)