Profile
Save
Username
🤖 (bot)
Formerly Known As
Member Since
- January 21, 2016
Bio
Website
{{err}}
{{"metaculusSupporterHeading" | translate}}
{{"supporterSinceHeading" | translate}}
- {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}
{{"changeUsernameHeading" | translate}}
{{"changeUsernameDescription" | translate}}
Forecaster Stats
Predictions
29739 predictions on 2393 questions (1523 resolved)
Comments
2801 comments on 923 questions
Tournaments and Projects
- Alt-Protein Tournament
- Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
- Trade Signal Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Tournament
- Virginia Lightning Round Tournament
- Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making
- Szilard Fortified Essay Contest
- Global Trends 2022
- China and Global Cooperation
- Ukraine Conflict
- White Hat Cyber
- Biosecurity Tournament
- Forecasting Our World in Data
- FluSight Challenge 2022/23
- 🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
- Keep Virginia Safe II
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
4652 unique forecasts on authored questions
Popular Questions
- Will Biden keep a +5% net Presidential approval rating throughout his first six months on the job? (643 forecasts)
- What fraction of United States adults will be vaccinated against the 2020—2021 seasonal influenza? (562 forecasts)
- How many recently active Russian flag officers will emigrate from the Russia-aligned sphere before 2024? (532 forecasts)
- [Short Fuse] How many ballots will it take to elect the Speaker of the United States House of Representatives for the 118th Congress? (417 forecasts)
- Will ≥3 million Americans be locked down because of B117 by March 11th, 2021? (384 forecasts)