traviswfisher

Predictions4115

Comments486

Member SinceFebruary 2016

Overview Track Record Medals Comments Questions

Questions by traviswfisher

Key Factor

SpaceX has a history of ambitious timelines, such as Elon Musk's claim that uncrewed Starship rockets could be sent to Mars by 2026, with a crewed expedition in 2028, which suggests potential for delays given the complexity of such missions.

Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?

resultYes

Will there be more than 13 people off of planet Earth on December 31, 2050?

96%chance

traviswfisher

Questions by traviswfisher

Ethics for an Artificial Intelligence

Is the Diamond Princess done as a cruise ship?

Will the 2020 Tokyo Olympics be cancelled due to COVID-19?

Will Apple's market cap exceed Amazon's on February 1, 2019?

Will Elon Musk be sanctioned for Tesla buyout tweet?

Will the current Ebola outbreak be contained to under 50 cases?

Will the US Senate vote to keep net neutrality

Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?

Key Factor

Key Factor

Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?

Will there be more than 13 people off of planet Earth on December 31, 2050?

Ethics for an Artificial Intelligence

Is the Diamond Princess done as a cruise ship?

Will the 2020 Tokyo Olympics be cancelled due to COVID-19?

Will Apple's market cap exceed Amazon's on February 1, 2019?

Will Elon Musk be sanctioned for Tesla buyout tweet?

Will the current Ebola outbreak be contained to under 50 cases?

Will the US Senate vote to keep net neutrality

Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?

Key Factor

Key Factor

Will the first SpaceX Falcon 9 Heavy launch succeed?

Will there be more than 13 people off of planet Earth on December 31, 2050?