5 comments
28 forecasters

Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the contiguous US, before 2027?

70%chance
39% this week
21 comments
115 forecasters

Will Pope Leo XIV visit another country other than Spain before September 2026?

98%chance
86% this week
3 comments
8 forecasters

How many New World Screwworm animal cases will be confirmed in the US in 2026?

Current estimate
61.7 animal cases
2 comments
5 forecasters

Will the UK Parliament approve the target to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 87 per cent by 2040?

80%chance
1 comment
3 forecasters

Will Spain hold a general election before May 23, 2027?

50%chance
35 comments
818 forecasters

Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?

24%chance
4% this week
2 comments
11 forecasters

Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a higher valuation on January 1, 2027?

OpenAI31%
Anthropic69%
0 comments
9 forecasters

Will the Federal Reserve raise the federal funds target range before July 30, 2026?

20%chance
0 comments
8 forecasters

Will Swiss voters approve the "No to a Switzerland with 10 million" population cap referendum?

40%chance
2 comments
3 forecasters

Will any official weather station in India record air temperatures of at least 55.0Β°C (131.0Β°F) for three or more consecutive days before January 1, 2050?

50%chance
0 comments
4 forecasters

How many software development jobs will be posted on Upwork on July 1, 2026?

Current estimate
25.6k jobs
1 comment
8 forecasters

Will the June 2026 University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment number be greater than it was for May 2026?

50%chance
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