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- February 14, 2016
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Forecaster Stats
Level
10 (Superpredictor)
Predictions
311 predictions on 162 questions (132 resolved)
Comments
35 comments on 23 questions
Rank
167th
Achievements
Tournaments and Projects
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
638 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Computing – Blockchain (2)
- Computing – Artificial Intelligence (2)
- Computer Science – AI and Machine Learning (2)
- Law – Legislation (1)
- Politics – European (1)
Popular Questions
- Will an EU country veto an extension of Brexit's deliberation before Oct 31st 2019? (277 forecasts)
- How many cumulative confirmed cases of coronavirus in San Francisco will be reported by Johns Hopkins CSSE on April 1st, 2020? (275 forecasts)
- Will Facebook's Libra initiative launch by Oct 1st 2020? (262 forecasts)
- By 2025, will laws be in place requiring that AI systems that emulate humans must reveal to people that they are AI? (222 forecasts)
- By May 2020, will a single language model obtain an average score equal to or greater than 90% on the SuperGLUE benchmark? (199 forecasts)