generating contingent estimations calculating contingent understanding generating probable contingencies generating calibrated futures composing accurate understanding mapping the future aggregating precise estimations exploring probable estimations computing probable futures forecasting contingent understanding mapping precise understanding delivering quantitative insights generating accurate wisdom modeling calibrated wisdom

Profile

username chris.hobson
formerly known as
member since April 14, 2016
bio
{{err}}
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.

Stats

level 3 (Guesstimator)
predictions 50 predictions on 47 questions (26 resolved)
rank 265th
achievements