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- June 12, 2016
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Forecaster Stats
Level
5 (Augur)
Predictions
159 predictions on 62 questions (52 resolved)
Comments
151 comments on 51 questions
Rank
785th
Achievements
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
1807 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Novel Coronavirus (Covid-19) (15)
- Biological Sciences – Medicine (9)
- Finance – markets (1)
- Geopolitics (1)
- Human Sciences – Demography (1)
Popular Questions
- What will be the ratio of fatalities to total estimated infections for COVID-19 by the end of 2020? (1782 forecasts)
- Will at least one Metaculus user report a positive test result for novel coronavirus by the end of 2020? (833 forecasts)
- What will be the lowest closing value for the Dow Jones Industrial Average before it reaches a new all-time record high close? (567 forecasts)
- Before 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections? (563 forecasts)
- How many people will be born in the United States in the year 2021? (406 forecasts)