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Forecaster Stats
Level
15 (Time Lord)
Predictions
2312 predictions on 791 questions (393 resolved)
Comments
172 comments on 111 questions
Rank
54th
Achievements
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
2863 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Politics – US (16)
- Politics – European (7)
- Environment – Climate (5)
- Computer Science – AI and Machine Learning (4)
- Social issues (4)
Popular Questions
- If the NYT publishes an article mentioning Slate Star Codex or Scott Alexander by July 2021, will it include his full name? (402 forecasts)
- If Joe Biden becomes president, what will the federal minimum wage be at the end of 2024? (361 forecasts)
- Will there be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world output doubles? (349 forecasts)
- How many named tropical storms will there be in the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season? (316 forecasts)
- If Biden has the majority of pledged delegates, but does not survive until the nominee is chosen, will Sanders become the nominee? (275 forecasts)