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- August 11, 2016
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Forecaster Stats
Level
16 (Time Lord)
Predictions
2381 predictions on 824 questions (444 resolved)
Comments
184 comments on 116 questions
Rank
76th
Achievements
Tournaments and Projects
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
3369 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Politics – US (16)
- Effective Altruism (14)
- Politics – European (7)
- Environment – Climate (5)
- Computer Science – AI and Machine Learning (4)
Popular Questions
- Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050? (518 forecasts)
- Will there be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world output doubles? (484 forecasts)
- If Joe Biden becomes president, what will the federal minimum wage be at the end of 2024? (443 forecasts)
- If the NYT publishes an article mentioning Slate Star Codex or Scott Alexander by July 2021, will it include his full name? (402 forecasts)
- On December 31, 2023, will Animal Charity Evaluators recommend a charity working on reducing wild animal suffering as a top charity? (320 forecasts)