Profile
Save
Username
Formerly Known As
Member Since
- August 5, 2017
Bio
Website
{{err}}
Metaculus Supporter
Supporter Since
- {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}
Change your username
Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons
You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.
Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.
Forecaster Stats
Level
3 (Guesstimator)
Predictions
84 predictions on 57 questions (24 resolved)
Comments
28 comments on 16 questions
Rank
2094th
Achievements
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
1106 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Category – Distant Future (7)
- Scientific Discoveries (7)
- Physical Sciences – Astrophysics and Cosmology (7)
- Series — Fermi Paradox (7)
- Metaculus Itself (4)
Popular Questions
- Drake's Equation 4th parameter f_l: On what fraction of habitable planets does any form of life emerge? (321 forecasts)
- Drake's Equation 2nd parameter f_p: What fraction of stars form planets? (273 forecasts)
- Drake's Equation 6th parameter f_c: What fraction of planets with intelligent life are capable of interstellar communication? (271 forecasts)
- Drake's Equation 3rd parameter n_e: What is the average number of habitable planets per star? (257 forecasts)
- Drake's Equation 5th parameter f_i: On what fraction of habitable planets with life does intelligence evolve? (255 forecasts)