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Member Since
- February 9, 2020
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Forecaster Stats
Level
18 (Time Lord)
Predictions
3383 predictions on 1095 questions (356 resolved)
Comments
339 comments on 193 questions
Rank
58th
Achievements
Tournaments and Projects
- Alt-Protein Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Tournament
- Global Trends 2022
- China and Global Cooperation
- Ukraine Conflict
- Biosecurity Tournament
- 🔰 2022Q4 Beginner Tournament 🔰
- 🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
- 🔰 Beginner Tournament 🔰
Causes and Organizations
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
741 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Effective Altruism (3)
- Metaculus Itself (2)
- Geopolitics (2)
- Scientific Discoveries (1)
- Computer Science – Quantum Computing (1)
Popular Questions
- Will any conclusive evidence for extraterrestrial life, past or present, be discovered within our Solar System by 2050? (436 forecasts)
- When will a quantum computer running Shor's algorithm (or a similar one) be used to factor one of the RSA numbers for the first time? (204 forecasts)
- Will Planet Nine be discovered before 2030? (165 forecasts)
- When will the United Kingdom apply to rejoin the EU? (162 forecasts)
- When will a human chess player reach a FIDE rating of 2900? (154 forecasts)