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- February 9, 2020
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Forecaster Stats
Predictions
4428 predictions on 1186 questions (475 resolved)
Comments
348 comments on 199 questions
Tournaments and Projects
- Alt-Protein Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Tournament
- Global Trends 2022
- China and Global Cooperation
- Ukraine Conflict
- Biosecurity Tournament
- 🔰Q4 2022 Beginner Tournament 🔰
- 🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
- 🔰Q1 2023 Beginner Tournament 🔰
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Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
949 unique forecasts on authored questions
Popular Questions
- Will any conclusive evidence for extraterrestrial life, past or present, be discovered within our Solar System by 2050? (663 forecasts)
- Will Planet Nine be discovered before 2030? (285 forecasts)
- When will the United Kingdom apply to rejoin the EU? (249 forecasts)
- When will a quantum computer running Shor's algorithm (or a similar one) be used to factor one of the RSA numbers for the first time? (222 forecasts)
- When will a human chess player reach a FIDE rating of 2900? (184 forecasts)