assembling precise understanding composing precise predictions aggregating precise insights computing contingent estimations exploring critical understanding mapping the future mapping calibrated futures generating predictive estimations calculating definitive forecasts computing contingent understanding predicting predictive wisdom composing intelligent forecasts mapping predictive wisdom crowdsourcing calibrated predictions


username NoUsernameSelected
formerly known as
member since February 9, 2020
Save Changes
Metaculus supporter – {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}

Change your username

Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons

You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.

Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.


level 9 (Predictor)
predictions 781 predictions on 380 questions (90 resolved)
comments 81 comments on 48 questions
rank 88th
authorship 7 active questions