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- February 9, 2020
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Forecaster Stats
Level
14 (Time Traveler)
Predictions
2413 predictions on 836 questions (226 resolved)
Comments
249 comments on 134 questions
Rank
71st
Achievements
Tournaments and Projects
- Alt-Protein Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Tournament
- Global Trends 2022
- China and Global Cooperation
- Ukraine Conflict
- Monkeypox
- Biosecurity Tournament
Causes and Organizations
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
627 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Effective Altruism (3)
- Metaculus Itself (2)
- Geopolitics (2)
- Scientific Discoveries (1)
- Computer Science – Quantum Computing (1)
Popular Questions
- Will any conclusive evidence for extraterrestrial life, past or present, be discovered within our Solar System by 2050? (332 forecasts)
- When will a quantum computer running Shor's algorithm (or a similar one) be used to factor one of the RSA numbers for the first time? (174 forecasts)
- Will Planet Nine be discovered before 2030? (149 forecasts)
- When will the United Kingdom apply to rejoin the EU? (143 forecasts)
- When will a human chess player reach a FIDE rating of 2900? (139 forecasts)