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- March 9, 2020
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Forecaster Stats
Level
9 (Predictor)
Predictions
436 predictions on 125 questions (88 resolved)
Comments
135 comments on 35 questions
Rank
160th
Achievements
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
723 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Novel Coronavirus (Covid-19) (9)
- Biological Sciences – Medicine (4)
- Biology – Medicine – Clinical Trials (2)
Popular Questions
- When will the United States reach herd immunity (>230M) for COVID-19? (1137 forecasts)
- When will the AstraZeneca/Oxford developed SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the US FDA? (612 forecasts)
- When will a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be widely available for adults in the United States? (605 forecasts)
- When will 100M people receive a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate that has demonstrated an efficacy rate >75% in a n>500 RCT? (464 forecasts)
- When will the 7-day rolling average for US COVID-19 deaths drop below 500? (385 forecasts)