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Member Since
- March 9, 2020
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Forecaster Stats
Level
9 (Predictor)
Predictions
458 predictions on 132 questions (121 resolved)
Comments
142 comments on 38 questions
Rank
285th
Achievements
Tournaments and Projects
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
790 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Novel Coronavirus (Covid-19) (10)
- Biological Sciences – Medicine (4)
- Biology – Medicine – Clinical Trials (3)
Popular Questions
- When will the United States reach herd immunity (>230M) for COVID-19? (1182 forecasts)
- When will the AstraZeneca/Oxford developed SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the US FDA? (612 forecasts)
- When will a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be widely available for adults in the United States? (605 forecasts)
- When will 100M people receive a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate that has demonstrated an efficacy rate >75% in a n>500 RCT? (491 forecasts)
- When will the 7-day rolling average for US COVID-19 deaths drop below 500? (385 forecasts)