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- March 9, 2020
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Forecaster Stats
Predictions
458 predictions on 132 questions (124 resolved)
Comments
142 comments on 38 questions
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Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
790 unique forecasts on authored questions
Popular Questions
- When will the United States reach herd immunity (>230M) for COVID-19? (1182 forecasts)
- When will the AstraZeneca/Oxford developed SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be granted emergency use authorization by the US FDA? (612 forecasts)
- When will a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be widely available for adults in the United States? (605 forecasts)
- When will 100M people receive a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate that has demonstrated an efficacy rate >75% in a n>500 RCT? (491 forecasts)
- When will the 7-day rolling average for US COVID-19 deaths drop below 500? (385 forecasts)