Metaculus
Profile
username
Alexander230
formerly known as
member since
April 13, 2020
bio
website
{{pctrl.profile.website}}
{{err}}
Metaculus supporter
– {{pctrl.supporterName()}}
supporter since
{{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}
Change your username
Cost: {{user.username_change_cost}} tachyons
You can change your username once every six months. Your old username will be listed as an alias in your profile for 30 days.
Brand new users can change their names for free. After a few days it will cost tachyons.
Forecaster Stats
level
13 (Oracle)
predictions
922 predictions on 594 questions (277 resolved)
comments
20 comments on 8 questions
rank
59th
achievements
Author Stats
Questions
5 authored questions
Forecasts
379 forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
Popular Questions
- Will the median prediction on this question fall in range [1-48]% OR [95-99]%? (1263 forecasts)
- Will a new variant of SARS-COV-2 that, due to a mutation, can infect people who had immunity to a previous variant, cause more than 10M infections globally by the end of 2021? (229 forecasts)
- When will the COVID-19 epidemic subside in Russia? (218 forecasts)
- Will YouTube be blocked in Russia in 2021? (91 forecasts)
- Will FreeTON cryptocurrency project be successful? (37 forecasts)