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- October 1, 2020
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Forecaster Stats
Level
∞ (Admin)
Predictions
0 predictions on 0 questions (0 resolved)
Achievements
Tournaments and Projects
- Alt-Protein Tournament
- Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
- Trade Signal Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Tournament
- Virginia Lightning Round Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
- Metaculus Journal
- Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making
- Szilard Fortified Essay Contest
- Global Trends 2022
- AI Progress Essay Contest
- FluSight Challenge 2021/22
- China and Global Cooperation
- Ukraine Conflict
- White Hat Cyber
- Cultured Meat Tournament
- Forecasting AI Progress
- Mpox (Monkeypox)
- Autocrat Public Figures Series
- Biosecurity Tournament
- Improve the News
- Economist 2021
- Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
- Transparent Replications
- Forecasting Our World in Data
- FluSight Challenge 2022/23
- Red Lines in Ukraine
- 🔰Q4 2022 Beginner Tournament 🔰
- 🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
- Economic Indicators
- 🤖 LLM Milestones 🤖
- 🔰Q1 2023 Beginner Tournament 🔰
- 📰 Breaking News Tournament 📰
- 🔰Beginner Tournament 🔰
- Regulation of AI
- Public Perception of AI
- AI Demonstrations
- Business of AI
- AI Training and Compute
- AGI Outcomes
- AI in China
- AI Technical Benchmarks
- AI Safety
- 🏆 Quarterly Cup 🏆
- Reducing Antibiotic Resistance In Aquaculture
- FRO-casting
Causes and Organizations
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
7594 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Novel Coronavirus (Covid-19) (77)
- Tournament –– Keep Virginia Safe -- Round 2 (33)
- Industry — Food (31)
- Tournament -- Nuclear Risk - Round 1 (29)
- Geopolitics – Armed Conflict (29)
Popular Questions
- Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? (704 forecasts)
- Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? (628 forecasts)
- When will in-person mobility in workplaces reach the baseline level in Virginia? (514 forecasts)
- Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050? (491 forecasts)
- Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024? (475 forecasts)