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- December 9, 2020
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Forecaster Stats
Level
24 (AIXI.1.4)
Predictions
16032 predictions on 1417 questions (789 resolved)
Comments
270 comments on 152 questions
Rank
26th
Achievements
Tournaments and Projects
- Alt-Protein Tournament
- Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
- Trade Signal Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Tournament
- Virginia Lightning Round Tournament
- Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making
- Global Trends 2022
- AI Progress Essay Contest
- Ukraine Conflict
- White Hat Cyber
- Biosecurity Tournament
- Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
- Climate Tipping Points
- Transparent Replications
- FluSight Challenge 2022/23
- 🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
- Keep Virginia Safe II
- 📰 Breaking News Tournament 📰
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
220 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Computer Science – AI and Machine Learning (6)
- Computing – Artificial Intelligence (5)
- Existential Risk (5)
- Human Sciences – Psychology (1)
- Effective Altruism (1)
Popular Questions
- When will an algorithm be able to predict the Big Five personality traits of a person from a naturalistic photograph or video? (156 forecasts)
- At the end of May 2023, will these individuals' signature be in the FLI open letter to pause giant AI experiments? (Dario Amodei) (112 forecasts)
- At the end of May 2023, will these individuals' signature be in the FLI open letter to pause giant AI experiments? (Demis Hassabis) (101 forecasts)
- At the end of May 2023, will these individuals' signature be in the FLI open letter to pause giant AI experiments? (Sundar Pichai) (100 forecasts)
- At the end of May 2023, will these individuals' signature be in the FLI open letter to pause giant AI experiments? (Mark Zuckerberg) (85 forecasts)