Profile
Save
Username
Formerly Known As
Member Since
- January 11, 2021
Bio
Website
{{err}}
{{"metaculusSupporterHeading" | translate}}
{{"supporterSinceHeading" | translate}}
- {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}
{{"changeUsernameHeading" | translate}}
{{"changeUsernameDescription" | translate}}
Forecaster Stats
Predictions
6310 predictions on 1772 questions (772 resolved)
Comments
1139 comments on 464 questions
Tournaments and Projects
- Alt-Protein Tournament
- Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
- Trade Signal Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Tournament
- Virginia Lightning Round Tournament
- Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making
- Global Trends 2022
- FluSight Challenge 2021/22
- China and Global Cooperation
- Ukraine Conflict
- White Hat Cyber
- Biosecurity Tournament
- 🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
- 📰 Breaking News Tournament 📰
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
1229 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Computer science (4)
- Computing – Security (4)
- Computing – Artificial Intelligence (3)
- Computing (3)
- Industry – Space (3)
Popular Questions
- When will a SpaceX Starship launched as a second stage reach an altitude of 100 kilometers? (974 forecasts)
- Will at least 2 US diplomats die or be captured in the evacuation of Kabul? (492 forecasts)
- Will North Korea send 100 or more troops to Ukraine before 2024? (398 forecasts)
- Will AES-256 be publicly broken by 2040? (249 forecasts)
- How far from the bow of the Titanic will the submersible 'Titan' be located? (210 forecasts)