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- July 19, 2022
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Forecaster Stats
Predictions
158 predictions on 129 questions (100 resolved)
Comments
59 comments on 37 questions
Tournaments and Projects
- Alt-Protein Tournament
- Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
- Trade Signal Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Tournament
- Virginia Lightning Round Tournament
- Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making
- Szilard Fortified Essay Contest
- Global Trends 2022
- AI Progress Essay Contest
- China and Global Cooperation
- Ukraine Conflict
- White Hat Cyber
- Cultured Meat Tournament
- Biosecurity Tournament
- Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
- Climate Tipping Points
- Forecasting Our World in Data
- FluSight Challenge 2022/23
- 🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
- ACX 2023 Prediction Contest
- Keep Virginia Safe II
- FRO-casting
- Conditional Cup
- FluSight Challenge 2023/24
- Chinese AI Chips
Organizations
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
3301 unique forecasts on authored questions
Popular Questions
- When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (Starship) (600 forecasts)
- Will Twitter experience an outage of greater than 60 minutes before mid-2023? (549 forecasts)
- Will there be a sustained human settlement on the Moon for at least 1 year before 2030? (338 forecasts)
- Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025? (321 forecasts)
- When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (Vulcan Centaur) (277 forecasts)