Our aim is to significantly improve the accuracy of forecasts made on AI progress, enabling better preparation for its many anticipated impacts.
Join us as a forecaster and keep up with the results.
Our aim is to generate a massive dataset of artificial intelligence (AI) forecasts over a range of time-frames, train models to optimally aggregate those forecasts, and use these to build a highly accurate map of the future of AI.
Participants will be contributing to the development of important new insights about the future of AI. Our results will be made publicly available.
The tournament will provide a unique proof of concept for aggregate probabilistic forecasting in the realm of AI.