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We're Hiring: Product, Engineering, Communications & Consulting Roles at Metaculus
7
1
1
comment
2
comments
32
forecasters
When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)
Current estimate
03 Nov 2025
$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1
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4
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AI Pathways Tournament
Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)
11
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comment
🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap
5
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comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
3
comments
56
forecasters
Who will develop the first artificial general intelligence?
Alphabet
29.7%
OpenAI
25.8%
Anthropic
17.3%
3 others
27%
3
comments
40
forecasters
What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?
Current estimate
61.4%
13
comments
81
forecasters
What color will the 2026 Pantone Color of the Year be?
Blue
Upcoming
Red
Upcoming
Gray
Upcoming
9 others
100%
9
comments
85
forecasters
Will the EU impose a Digital Markets Act fine during Q4 2025?
Current estimate
Revealed
tomorrow
0
comments
45
forecasters
Will any of these 8 pieces of jewelry stolen in the 2025 Louvre heist be recovered before December 1, 2025?
Current estimate
Revealed
in 3 days
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