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Another Year of AI Benchmarking: The Plan

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Q2 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

Where will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be on October 1, 2025?

Forecast revealed in 2 days

Will Russia test a nuclear device before January 1, 2026?

Forecast revealed in 4 days

Introducing Comments of the Week

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How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2025-2026 Premier League?

Forecast revealed tomorrow

Will a player outside of the top 10 seeds win the Open section of the FIDE Grand Swiss 2025?

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How many days will Donald Trump spend golfing in September 2025?

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What will the National Science Foundation’s budget be in these fiscal years?

Key Factor

- Historical context of Trump's budget cuts

Key Factor

- Historical context of Trump's budget cuts

What will the National Institutes of Health’s actual obligations be in these fiscal years?

How many incidents of unruly passengers will the FAA report for September 2025?

Forecast revealed in 4 days