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We're Hiring: Product, Engineering, Communications & Consulting Roles at Metaculus

7
11 comment
2 comments
32 forecasters

When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Prizes inside)

Current estimate
03 Nov 2025

$5,000 in Prizes for Comments in the AI Pathways Tournament: Submit Before November 1

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44 comments
AI Pathways Tournament

Metaculus Community Giving Report (2023 – August 2025)

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11 comment

🏆 Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3 Winners and Recap

5
0 comments
Market Pulse Challenge 25Q3
3 comments
56 forecasters

Who will develop the first artificial general intelligence?

Alphabet29.7%
OpenAI25.8%
Anthropic17.3%
3 comments
40 forecasters

What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?

Current estimate
61.4%
13 comments
81 forecasters

What color will the 2026 Pantone Color of the Year be?

BlueUpcoming
RedUpcoming
GrayUpcoming
9 comments
85 forecasters

Will the EU impose a Digital Markets Act fine during Q4 2025?

Current estimate
Revealed tomorrow
0 comments
45 forecasters

Will any of these 8 pieces of jewelry stolen in the 2025 Louvre heist be recovered before December 1, 2025?

Current estimate
Revealed in 3 days