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Oct 17 Update: Bot Templates & Tutorials Available for the Q4 AI Forecasting Benchmark
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no comments
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Predictions as Public Works Project โย What Metaculus Is Building Next
1
no comments
0
Winners of the Q3 2024 Quarterly Cup!
3
3 comments
3
๐ Q3 2024 Quarterly Cup ๐
Who will be elected US President in 2024?
Donald Trump
50.2%
Kamala Harris
50%
J.D. Vance
0.2%
17 others
288
3k comments
3k
A Massive Rewrite, A Slate of Improvements, and Going Open Source
26
312 comments
312
Will Kamala Harris go on Joe Rogan's podcast before the 2024 election?
15%
7
4 comments
4
Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states?
Iowa
98%
Alaska
97%
Ohio
96.3%
20 others
40
248 comments
248
Will Erik Ten Hag stop being Manchester United's manager before 2025?
48%
3
4 comments
4
๐ Quarterly Cup ๐
Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025?
Contested
51%
Israel
43%
Hamas
3%
3 others
21
59 comments
59
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Will OpenAI's o1 remain the top LLM in all categories of Chatbot Arena on December 30, 2024?
60%
11
28 comments
28
๐ Quarterly Cup ๐
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