Contributed by the David Mathers' Community community.
Question
When will models hit 90% on SWE-Bench (Verified Version)
Total Forecasters15
Community Prediction
02 Jan 2026
(02 Jun 2025 - 24 Mar 2027)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 02 Jun 2025 | — |
| median | 02 Jan 2026 | — |
| upper 75% | 24 Mar 2027 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jun 2062 | 0.4% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Sep 27, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2061
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2062
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 30, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Sep 27, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2061
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2062
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 30, 2024
