4 comments
135 forecasters
Will a federal court rule that the Trump administration violated the Impoundment Control Act in attempting to permanently withhold or cancel congressionally allocated funds by September 27, 2025?
2.2%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 2% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 31, 2025
Closes:Sep 28, 2025
Resolved:Sep 28, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 31, 2025
Will presidential impoundment authority be expanded by the Supreme Court or by law before November 3, 2026?
35% chance
112
Will a US federal court hold any part of the executive branch in contempt for not obeying a Supreme Court ruling, before January 20, 2029?
52% chance
122
Will the Trump administration impose significant federal price controls before Jan 20, 2029?
60% chance
26