80 forecasters

Will Kash Patel be confirmed by the Senate as FBI Director by June 30, 2025?

99.9%chance

99.9%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 100% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 31, 2025

Closes:

Jul 1, 2025

Resolved:

Feb 20, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 31, 2025

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Kash Patel Fires FBI Agents Involved in Tracking GOP Senators’ Phone Calls

Breitbart•Oct 10, 2025

Kash Patel fires yet another group of FBI agents without cause, shutters corruption group

MSNBC•Oct 9, 2025

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