Discover Initiatives

Initiatives powered by our forecasting community

Explore the initiatives built with our community of forecasters and partners.

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RadiantMap the future before you build it

FutureEval

FutureEval measures the ability of AI agents to predict future outcomes in various industries.

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Labor Hub

Real-time forecasts from our global forecasting community on the future of the US workforce as AI advances.

Many organizations can produce a projection for 2035. What distinguishes Metaculus is the decade of resolved forecasts behind its work, giving decision-makers a firmer basis for understanding how much confidence to place in a forecast today. The result is what we hoped for: credible, forward-looking forecasts about AI and work that can help leaders make better decisions in the face of rapid change.
Meg BennerSenior Program Advisor, Renaissance Philanthropy
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Partnering with

  • Renaissance Philanthropy
  • Schultz Family Foundation

What our partners say

  • Metaculus is the ideal partner for forecasting risks - their platform encourages truthful revelation of probability estimates using prizes for accuracy rather than direct profit. This approach makes the results understandable and more credible to multiple audiences.
    Brendan NyhanJames O. Freedman Presidential Professor, Department of Government, Dartmouth College
  • Partnering with Metaculus has been both productive and engaging for us at the JetBrains Research team. Beyond being a valuable collaboration that helped us better understand the real-world utility and risks associated with AI coding assistance, it was also a very pleasant experience, given the Metaculus team's professionalism and openness.
    Ilya ZakharovSenior Researcher, Human-AI Experience Team, JetBrains Research
  • As a data journalist, I spend a lot of time helping our readers think in probabilities rather than certainties. Metaculus is the best example of that idea in practice: a community where saying "70%" means something useful, where you are scored on it, and where being wrong is information.
    Kiko LlanerasData Journalist and Author, El País

Frontiers in Disease Prevention

Pro Forecasting report on the disease prevention technologies most likely to deliver impact over the next two decades.

I was impressed with what the forecasters were able to generate on the basis of publicly available information. The forecasts will help me with decision-making around TB vaccines, and it’s very helpful to have an independent outside view on these questions.
Ray KennedySenior Program Officer, Global Health R&D, Coefficient Giving
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2026 US Midterms Tracker

Forecasts from the Metaculus community on contested races and the policies they will shape.

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All initiatives

Health & Bio

Frontiers in Disease Prevention

Pro Forecasting report on the disease prevention technologies most likely to deliver impact over the next two decades.

Global Health Monitor

The latest updates on emerging health risks and disease monitoring.

CDC Expert Elicitation

Expert views on the 2024-25 respiratory season, designing methodology for the CDC that they continue to use.

Scale Is All You Need

Workshop with Astera Institute, focused on advancing the field of synthetic biology.

AI

FutureEval

FutureEval measures the ability of AI agents to predict future outcomes in various industries.

Labor Hub

Real-time forecasts from our global forecasting community on the future of the US workforce as AI advances.

AI Diffusion Index

In partnership with Convergence Analysis, a forecasting index tracking the level of AI integration into society by 2030.

AGI 2030 Readiness Index

Tracking key metrics identified by workshop participants at The Curve in 2024 that reflect preparedness for artificial general intelligence (AGI).

Threshold 2030

Conference co-hosted with Convergence Analysis to evaluate the economic impacts of frontier AI technologies by 2030.

Science

Radiant

Map the future before you build it

Research Agencies Outlook Report

Pro Forecasting on expected funding to research agencies under the Trump administration.

FRO-casting

Collaboration with the Federation of American Scientists to use predictions to assess impact, deliver feedback, and inform the allocation of research funding.

Policy & Geopolitics

2026 US Midterms Tracker

Forecasts from the Metaculus community on contested races and the policies they will shape.

Metaculus World Map

Visualize and discover Metaculus forecasts on a world map

US Democracy Threat Index

In collaboration with the nonpartisan group Bright Line Watch, this index monitors areas of concern through forecasting questions.

Forecasting the AI and Nuclear Landscape

In partnership with the Institute for Security and Technology, a report assessing the risks of US-China escalation, including integrating AI into nuclear command, control, and communications.

For partners

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