21 comments
154 forecasters
Will President Trump formally invoke the Insurrection Act before 2026?
16%chance
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 31, 2025
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 31, 2025
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Will the U.S. president formally invoke the Insurrection Act in the following years?
52 forecasters
Will President Trump formally invoke his authority under the Constitution to adjourn Congress before 2026?
2% chance
124
Will the Trump administration announce a suspension of habeas corpus before January 20, 2029?
20% chance
125